XMR_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $504.69

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.69%

Expected Δ (30m) 0.12%

95% confidence band $498.40 – $512.16

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-08-31 14:00 UTC	$504.69	0.69%	0.12%	$498.40 – $512.16	hold
2026-08-31 13:00 UTC	$510.76	0.69%	0.21%	$504.93 – $518.76	hold
2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	$516.78	0.69%	0.16%	$510.64 – $524.60	hold
2026-08-31 11:00 UTC	$533.46	0.63%	-0.04%	$526.62 – $539.83	hold
2026-08-31 10:00 UTC	$534.14	0.63%	-0.15%	$526.73 – $539.94	hold
2026-08-31 09:00 UTC	$528.78	0.63%	-0.11%	$521.68 – $534.69	hold
2026-08-31 08:00 UTC	$518.54	0.61%	-0.04%	$512.11 – $524.54	hold
2026-08-31 07:00 UTC	$517.17	0.63%	-0.05%	$510.58 – $523.25	hold
2026-08-31 06:00 UTC	$514.32	0.63%	-0.09%	$507.54 – $520.14	hold
2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	$512.08	0.63%	-0.14%	$505.12 – $517.65	hold
2026-08-31 04:00 UTC	$504.97	0.62%	-0.09%	$498.42 – $510.66	hold
2026-08-31 03:00 UTC	$498.58	0.61%	-0.05%	$492.35 – $504.30	hold
2026-08-31 02:00 UTC	$496.52	0.61%	-0.09%	$490.14 – $502.04	hold
2026-08-31 01:00 UTC	$493.51	0.61%	-0.08%	$487.22 – $499.04	hold
2026-08-31 00:00 UTC	$488.02	0.61%	-0.05%	$481.95 – $493.65	hold
2026-08-30 23:00 UTC	$486.00	0.62%	0.10%	$480.60 – $492.34	hold
2026-08-30 22:00 UTC	$483.67	0.62%	0.09%	$478.18 – $490.05	hold
2026-08-30 21:00 UTC	$495.60	0.59%	-0.10%	$489.40 – $500.84	hold
2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	$492.74	0.59%	-0.03%	$486.94 – $498.29	hold
2026-08-30 19:00 UTC	$486.18	0.58%	0.08%	$481.04 – $492.09	hold
2026-08-30 18:00 UTC	$490.23	0.59%	0.10%	$485.06 – $496.38	hold
2026-08-30 17:00 UTC	$494.06	0.59%	0.11%	$488.93 – $500.28	hold
2026-08-30 16:00 UTC	$500.31	0.57%	0.09%	$495.10 – $506.38	hold
2026-08-30 15:00 UTC	$505.23	0.57%	-0.01%	$499.54 – $510.78	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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