ADA_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $0.19

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.49%

Expected Δ (30m) 0.01%

95% confidence band $0.19 – $0.20

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-08-31 14:00 UTC	$0.19	0.49%	0.01%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 13:00 UTC	$0.19	0.50%	0.07%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	$0.20	0.50%	0.07%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 11:00 UTC	$0.20	0.50%	-0.01%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 10:00 UTC	$0.20	0.50%	-0.03%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 09:00 UTC	$0.20	0.49%	-0.00%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 08:00 UTC	$0.20	0.49%	-0.02%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 07:00 UTC	$0.20	0.49%	-0.02%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 06:00 UTC	$0.20	0.50%	-0.06%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	$0.20	0.51%	-0.04%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 04:00 UTC	$0.19	0.49%	-0.03%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 03:00 UTC	$0.19	0.49%	-0.04%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-31 02:00 UTC	$0.19	0.49%	0.04%	$0.19 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-31 01:00 UTC	$0.19	0.52%	0.01%	$0.19 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-31 00:00 UTC	$0.19	0.51%	0.11%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-30 23:00 UTC	$0.19	0.51%	0.19%	$0.19 – $0.20	buy
2026-08-30 22:00 UTC	$0.20	0.46%	0.07%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-30 21:00 UTC	$0.20	0.46%	0.07%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	$0.20	0.45%	0.10%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-30 19:00 UTC	$0.20	0.45%	0.04%	$0.20 – $0.21	hold
2026-08-30 18:00 UTC	$0.20	0.44%	0.02%	$0.20 – $0.21	hold
2026-08-30 17:00 UTC	$0.20	0.45%	-0.04%	$0.20 – $0.21	hold
2026-08-30 16:00 UTC	$0.21	0.45%	-0.03%	$0.20 – $0.21	hold
2026-08-30 15:00 UTC	$0.20	0.44%	0.04%	$0.20 – $0.21	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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